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And it doesn't look as bad as you'd think:
MI-07 - M.o.E. +/-4.0% - Conducted Oct. 6-7 by Glengariff Group, Inc.
Tim Walberg (R) - 43%
Sharon Renier (D) - 35%
Undecided - 22%
Source: My DD
The poll also shows that a majority of respondents would prefer to see the Congress in Democratic hands, and that the district has a very large independent streak, meaning that if the candidate gets vocal about centrist issues, she has a chance.
I think that Walberg's primary campaign was probably the most effective way you could think of to cement him as a right-wing candidate. He proudly ran on that platform in the primary. So the center is open for Renier, if she's serious about winning.
Any other cycle, I'd say it was too late for her. This time around, it might not be, but the clock is ticking.
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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2 comments:
<"And it doesn't look as bad as you'd think:">
Hmm-- but it looks pretty darn DIFFICULT. 35% in a district traditionally loyal to the other party is a real long shot.
But, sometimes the long shots win.
I neglected to mention this, but the interesting thing for me was that the same poll showed that by a 39-37 percent margin, voters in the district said they would prefer to see a Democrat-led House of Reps.
So, it's winnable.
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