Friday, February 09, 2007

Senator Carl drops Scotsw a friendly note


You may not be aware that I'm an intimate correspondent of Senator Carl Levin's. He writes me from time to time -- usually e-mail, because who has time to send hand-written correspondence anymore? -- and lets me know what's on his mind. I know he's writing particularly to me because each letter begins with a very proper invocation, thus:

Dear Mr. Woods:


Which is how these things are done among the well-bred. Anyhow, today's personal note regards Global Warming, a problem which Carl agrees is important -- very important. However, the good Senator is a careful man -- very careful -- when it comes to the economy. And so he writes to me:

"Climate change is a global problem, and it requires a global solution. The most important action that would tackle global warming is to create an effective and enforceable international treaty that binds all nations to reduce greenhouse gases, including developing countries such as China and India. Without actions to limit greenhouse gases worldwide, nothing we do in the United States will really matter...


I appreciate Carl's thoughtfulness on this. I mean, we're buds, so I don't want to sound too harsh. But how bloody dumb does Carl think we are? This pap may mollify the Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable, but it is, of course, nothing short of delusional.


This warming problem is Hard Reality. This issue is unlike terrorism or abortion or all the other political footballs which politicians in Washington are used to kicking around and recycling in each election. Global warming will have its effects regardless of what politicians say, regardless of blather about what's wise or not wise, regardless of posturing. New Orleans was not a joke, nor a fluke. That's how Hard Reality works.

In the first place, the 5% of the world's population which lives in the United States emits 25% of the world's greenhouse gases. So by definition, yes, even acting on our own, what we do in the United States WILL matter. In the second place, acting now puts us several steps ahead when the treaty comes into effect. We'll be that much further along in the development of technologies the rest of the world will want.


But third -- and this is the whole point -- WE HAVE NO RIGHT to continue to imperil the future of the world's poorest people. For the nefarious cruelty of this issue is that the people who have benefitted least from the activities which caused this pollution are the people who will pay most for our actions. There is a moral imperative that we act now. And I would say that people who have been paying attention have known this for a decade at least (thus the Kyoto treaty), so we're already very late in acting.

The arguments about India and China are also false. Auto suppliers and other manufacturers are already heading for India and China as fast as they can pull up stakes. Besides, those people have the same right we do to a good standard of living. When Americans can get their per-capita emissions down to the level of the Indians and Chinese, then we can start moralizing to them about how they need to act. Please.

But underlying all of this is the wrong-headed idea that this is an economic issue. I simply don't believe that's true. It's insulting to argue that a certain amount of avoidable cataclysm is acceptable to us, and use hypothetical economic calculations to justify our intransigence. We don't know what the future holds -- there may be recessions, depressions, wars, inventions, migrations, natural disasters -- too many variables to try to put a price tag on economic growth down the line.

While the specific effects of global warming aren't known -- and given the chaos of weather systems, are not even knowable -- the general picture is pretty clear: More famine, millions displaced, oceans rising at least a few feet, changing rainfall patterns, species extinguished, and ecosystems turned upside down. That's the Hard Reality, and it don't care about Gross Domestic Product. Try to put a price on that, O pointy heads.

So, no Carl, I don't agree. Everything we do will really matter. It is past time to act. And if a few more jobs go to India or China, so be it. We have bigger fish to fry.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

One thing that boggle my mind is how politicians react to this sort of situation by saying something of the like of: "we need all nations to come together to an agreement before something can be done"

Now, I'm not aware of all the the diplomatic subtleties and goings on that require moving in lock-step. What I do know is that the price of claiming ourselve to be The One And Only Superpower, and Greatest Nation Evah should be that we demonstrate concrete leadership from time to time on a global scale.

Leadership means moving forward ahead of everyone else and setting the example for others to follow. It's not rocket science. Unfortunately, some oud our 'leaders' need to be reminded of this from time to time.

A side note: Is talking about global warming in terms of Per Capita really useful? I'm sure it helps in making a point that we are a very wasteful nation, but if your country is putting out the most greenhouse emissions and other amounts of trash, does it really matter if you have a population of 1,000,000 or 100,000,000? You still have a grievous problem on your hands.

-Marty

Anonymous said...

So let's begin. Where do we start? A $5.00 per gallon tax on gasoline to force Americans to change their driving habits? Increase the CAFE standards by 50%? Heavy taxation on those power plants that rely on coal or natural gas? Constructing nuclear powers plants? End highway construction/repair and shift the expenditures to rebuilding the rail infrastructure?

scot s w said...

Draconian measures aren't necessary, Sparty, but we have to "start" on many fronts.

Let's start by ending government subsidies of the insanely-profitable fossil-fuel industries, who like to preach about free-market capitalism when people suggest alternative energies. And then, yes, let's consider a gas-tax hike -- say, 25 or 50 cents on the gallon. And I'd be happy with a 20% nudge to CAFE standards (which have barely changed in 20 years), which would spur implementation of fuel-saving technologies.

Let's require buildings to be more energy-efficient, and ban incandescent lights (which turn just 5% of the energy they use into light).

Then let's talk about the zoning, road-building and other state and local policies which encourage America's energy-reliant lifestyle. The way we live isn't the product of a divinely-ordained paradigm, it's the result of cheap fossil fuels. The end of cheap oil is coming one way or the other, and the sooner we adapt, the better off we are.

Incidentally, millions of us "started" on this long ago. Welcome to our new reality.

scot s w said...

Marty wrote:

"A side note: Is talking about global warming in terms of Per Capita really useful? I'm sure it helps in making a point that we are a very wasteful nation, but if your country is putting out the most greenhouse emissions and other amounts of trash, does it really matter if you have a population of 1,000,000 or 100,000,000? You still have a grievous problem on your hands."

Yes, it's not only useful, it's crucial. The day will come when China uses more energy and produces more waste than the U.S. because China has 4 times as many people. Jamaica never will because Jamaica has far fewer. China's energy use will grow more quickly than Germany's, because China is still industrializing, and Germany did so long ago.

China would never agree to a deal where we cap our energy usage and they cap theirs at today's levels, because that would guarantee a permanently lower standard of living for China's people.

Erik Sandblom said...

The discussion has to start by looking at how much the earth can handle. I've seen the number two tons of emissions per capita by 2050 as a sustainable level, and that's for the global population. Most western countries are at about three or four times that. So we (the western countries) all need to get cracking, because the sooner we start the easier and cheaper it will be.

So I think that's a better way of presenting the issue than 5% population and 25% of total emissions. The point needs to be made that there is a ceiling. Arguing who should reduce the most is beside the point, because we all need to fit comfortably under the ceiling.

Interesting blog by the way. :-)